Fortaleza vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
8%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
RSC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOR
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
ONC
17%
22%
62%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
REA
1 - 2
BUC
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 1
REA
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
BUC
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
CHI
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |