Fortaleza vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
AME
0 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PER
3 - 0
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
AME
0 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
AME
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
AME
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |