Fortaleza vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
BOG
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
PER
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 4
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |