Fortaleza vs Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 3
QUI
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
FOR
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 2
COR
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PER
2 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 2
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 3
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 3
SFE
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |