Fortaleza vs Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOR
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
FOR
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BUC
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAS
3 - 0
ACA
60%
25%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |