Fortaleza Sub 20 vs Bahia Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AME
5 - 0
FOR
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAH
46%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
5 - 0
FOR
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
VAS
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
ATM
15%
21%
65%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 2
BOT
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAH
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
AME
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
INT
2 - 0
BAH
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAH
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |