Fortaleza EC vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
67%
19%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
MAR
89%
9%
2%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
RFC
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
FOR
5%
19%
76%
|
90 | 44 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
FOR
12%
23%
66%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
4 - 1
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
VIT
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ITA
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | +1 |