Fortaleza EC vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
FOR
6 - 0
ICA
86%
12%
3%
|
78 | 32 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 6
FOR
5%
17%
78%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 0
FOR
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2021 |
CEA
5 - 2
UNI
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAC
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UNI
7 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 6
UNI
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |