Cearense 1 Final
Global 5-1
Fortaleza EC vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
FLA
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 4
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
IMP
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
FOR
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 4
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 5
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |