Fortaleza EC vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
RIV
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
MAR
82%
14%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
ICA
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |