Fortaleza EC vs Trairiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
CRA
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
FER
81%
13%
7%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRA
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 3
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Trairiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
CEA
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
TRA
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
TRA
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 3
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
3 - 1
TRA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |