Cearense 1 Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 6-2
Fortaleza EC vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 3
FOR
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
ALT
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
5 - 0
ITA
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 3
FOR
18%
23%
60%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
TIR
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
TIR
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |