Fortaleza EC vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRB
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
3 - 3
TIR
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
6 - 5
HOR
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 5
TIR
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |