Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 5-4
Fortaleza EC vs Tigres do Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 4
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
BOV
79%
14%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
TIG
2 - 2
FOR
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres do Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
TIG
2 - 2
FOR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AME
3 - 0
TIG
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 2
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
RES
4 - 2
TIG
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 2
BOT
10%
17%
73%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |