Fortaleza EC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 3
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ATM
0 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 1
CEI
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
CFC
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLA
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 2
SAO
17%
20%
63%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |