Fortaleza EC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 3
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ATM
0 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
COR
3 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
CRZ
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AME
0 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
57%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |