Fortaleza EC vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 0
FOR
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 3
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
4 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRZ
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
5 - 1
PAL
49%
24%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
GOI
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |