Fortaleza EC vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 1
FOR
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
LUV
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
CRB
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
CUI
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |