Fortaleza EC vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 0
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
AGU
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAL
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |