Fortaleza EC vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
4 - 0
FOR
22%
23%
56%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 3
LIM
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 2
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
QUI
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 4
QUI
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOV
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 2
ICA
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
QUI
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |