Fortaleza EC vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 3
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 2
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
5 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |