Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
GOI
1 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
COR
2 - 2
FOR
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 4
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 2
CRZ
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
PAL
4 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
GOI
1 - 3
PAL
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
47%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
PAL
4 - 2
VAS
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
ATP
2 - 0
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |