Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAY
50%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 4
ATP
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
5 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 1
GOI
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |