Fortaleza EC vs Pacajus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.9%
2.1%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 2
BAR
87%
11%
3%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
FOR
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Pacajus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 3
CAU
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
CEA
4%
11%
85%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
3 - 2
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
1 - 1
HOR
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |