Fortaleza EC vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
SPT
0 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
FOR
8%
21%
72%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
ROY
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
AUR
4 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
IND
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |