Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 4
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CSA
0 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
CSA
59%
25%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 2
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
5 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |