Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
85%
12%
3%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
HOR
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +4 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEA
10%
18%
73%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |