Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
FOR
16%
23%
60%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
64%
20%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 3
MAR
86%
10%
3%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
31%
28%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |