Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.2%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
7 - 0
CFS
96%
4%
0%
|
88 | 27 | 61 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
7%
18%
76%
|
88 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 0
MOT
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CFS
0 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MIA
0 - 7
FOR
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 41 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
GPM
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IGU
0 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 0
MAR
80%
15%
5%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ABC
0 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
MAR
74%
19%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |