Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 0-0
Fortaleza EC vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
36%
25%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
LUZ
0 - 0
FOR
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
TIR
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
LUZ
0 - 0
FOR
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 2
BRA
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 1
LUZ
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LUZ
2 - 1
CEI
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |