Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-2
Fortaleza EC vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
AGU
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 4
FOR
21%
28%
51%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 1
LUV
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
4 - 0
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 1
CUI
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUV
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 0
LUV
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |