Fortaleza EC vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 1
FOR
13%
21%
67%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
5%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
REC
2 - 1
FOR
12%
20%
68%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 2
MOT
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
4 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FER
4 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |