Fortaleza EC vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 3
FOR
16%
22%
61%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
TRA
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
CRA
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
FER
81%
13%
7%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |