Fortaleza EC vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19%
2-0
19.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
2.7%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 6
FOR
5%
17%
78%
|
78 | 32 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 0
FOR
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
CAU
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
ICA
3 - 2
CAU
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
33 | 80 | 47 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PAC
3 - 0
ICA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
ICA
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 3
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |