Fortaleza EC vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
FAS
2 - 0
FOR
23%
24%
54%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 5
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 2
CEA
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |