Fortaleza EC vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.6%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
FOR
34%
28%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
GOI
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOT
53%
25%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ICA
1 - 2
HOR
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
FLO
37%
26%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
HOR
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |