Fortaleza EC vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 2
SAO
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
FOR
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
FOR
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 1
ICA
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
HOR
17%
21%
63%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 0
HOR
82%
14%
5%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 2
ICA
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |