Cearense 1 Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Fortaleza EC vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 4
FOR
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 2
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 3
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 4
FOR
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
5 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
HOR
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 3
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |