Fortaleza EC vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
29%
24%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
LIM
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
FER
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
20%
24%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 0
QUI
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 3
HOR
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |