Fortaleza EC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
2.9%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 5
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
89%
9%
2%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 5
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
GUA
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |