Fortaleza EC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
TIR
63%
20%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRB
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |