Fortaleza EC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CEA
35%
25%
39%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
2 - 2
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
ITA
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 3
GUA
45%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |