Fortaleza EC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 3
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
CRB
1 - 0
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 2
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 3
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRB
2 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAM
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 3
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
0 - 0
GUA
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |