Fortaleza EC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 0
FOR
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
TIG
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 4
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUA
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
HOR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |