Fortaleza EC vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 1
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |