Fortaleza EC vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 3
FOR
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
CEA
11%
21%
68%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
4 - 2
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |