Fortaleza EC vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 1
FAS
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
FAS
2 - 0
FOR
23%
24%
54%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 5
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TIR
1 - 2
GUA
56%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
6 - 1
QUI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |