Fortaleza EC vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 3
CEA
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 2
FOR
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |