Fortaleza EC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
5 - 0
GUA
82%
13%
4%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
SCI
7%
17%
76%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
MIR
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
COR
9%
19%
72%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | +1 |