Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLU
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |